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Various thoughts and advertisements! Posts before 29 August 2026 are an archived copy of public Facebook posts. Comments? Email me.

Questions about Pandemic Models

If you are around today at 7 pm, please come for this discussion hosted by BSS Karnataka. We will discuss the public discourse around mathematical models that have been used for the pandemic in India. The talk will be livestreamed at:

https://www.facebook.com/bss.karnataka

(unfortunately, there is no public Zoom link).

Here is the abstract.

The past year has seen the emergence of numerous mathematical models for the COVID-19 pandemic whose results have been publicized as scientific predictions for the future. In several cases, models with obvious flaws have received wide publicity, and may have influenced policy. I will discuss, among other examples, early model-based claims that a “49 day lockdown” was necessary in India, and subsequent claims that the Indian lockdown “averted thousands of deaths”. I will also discuss the incorrect conclusion, supported by modelling, that India would not see a second wave at all. The program of attempting to make detailed predictions about the pandemic using simple mathematical equations provides a textbook example of poor science. But it also shows how governments and others with an agenda can use scientific-sounding claims to mislead people.

Holography from the Wheelerโ€“DeWitt Equation

In a paper today, with Chandramouli Chowdhury, Victor Godet and Olga Papadoulaki, we establish a link between two famous but seemingly different approaches to quantum gravity. On one hand, we have the Wheeler-DeWitt (WDW) equation that was first written down more than 50 years ago. On the other hand, we have now known for almost 25 years that gravitational theories in anti-de Sitter space (AdS) are holographic, and this has been an extraordinarily fruitful idea.

In today’s paper, we show that a version of holography can be derived from the WDW equation. More precisely we show, within perturbation theory, that two wavefunctionals that solve the WDW equation in AdS, and coincide at the boundary of AdS for an infinitesimal time interval, must coincide everywhere in the bulk.

Contrast this with ordinary quantum field theories (QFTs) where it is obvious that one can prepare states that coincide outside a bounded region but differ inside. This is why, in ordinary QFTs, information is stored locally. The result today shows that the WDW equation prevents the existence of such “split states” in quantum gravity and that information in gravitational wavefunctionals can be always be found near the boundary of a Cauchy slice.

Our analysis is perturbative but several separate arguments that we have given over the last couple of years, for the “principle of holography of information” in gravity, suggest that the final result should extend beyond perturbation theory.

Read more at: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2107.14802.pdf

Inconsistency of Islands in Long-Range Gravity

We report a surprising result today with Hao Geng, Andreas Karch, Carlos Pรฉrez, Lisa Randall, Marcos Riojas and Sanjit Shashi. We show that the island rule leads to inconsistent results in standard theories of long range gravity, and is only consistent in theories with massive gravitons.

This is the story in some more detail.

๐“๐ก๐ž ๐‚๐จ๐ง๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐ข๐œ๐ญ We have recently described a principle of holography of information for theories of gravity: this states that information that is present in the bulk of a Cauchy slice is also available near its boundary. (More on this in a few days)

On a different track, significant progress has been made in understanding AdS black holes coupled to non-gravitational baths. Here a part of the bath describes a part of the region inside the gravitational region, called the “Island”.

The two ideas above sound vaguely similar: in each case degrees of freedom in one part of space describe degrees of freedom that appear to be localized in another part of space. But a little more examination reveals that they are conflict with each other. The fact that information about the island is hidden from the asymptotic boundary of the gravitating region but instead available somewhere else contradicts the principle of holography of information.

In today’s paper, we turned this into a sharp puzzle. In standard theories of gravity, the energy of an excitation inside the island can be measured from outside the island using just the humble Gauss law. (The same Gauss law that we use to determine the mass of the sun without ever visiting it). This leads to the conclusion that not only is the paradigm of islands in contradiction with the principle of holography of information, it is inconsistent even with the Gauss law. And this inconsistency is already visible in perturbation theory.

๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ƒ๐ž๐ง๐จ๐ฎ๐ž๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ This doesn’t mean that the papers about islands are wrong. (Well, given the number of papers that continue to be written on islands, some of them are wrong, but I’m talking about the right ones.)

We found the resolution to our puzzle hiding in plain sight. The models that have been used to study islands couple a theory of gravity in AdS to a bath. When a theory in AdS is coupled to a bath, the graviton in AdS necessarily picks up a mass. This follows almost from conformal representation theory. The stress-tensor on the AdS boundary ceases to be conserved because energy is leaking into the bath. So it picks up an anomalous dimension. Voila, in the bulk, the graviton picks up a mass.

But theories of massive gravity do not have a Gauss law (or a principle of holography of information). What this means is that in theories of massive gravity, one cannot determine the energy inside a bounded region by integrating some component of the metric outside that region. So there is no puzzle if such theories contain islands.

The mass of the graviton was noted earlier by Andreas and Hao. But it was sometimes believed that this was an unwanted feature of specific models, and one should be able to wish away the mass in some way. What our paper today shows is that the mass of the graviton is not a technicality that can be wished away but is crucial in ensuring the consistency of the island story.

๐„๐ฉ๐ข๐ฅ๐จ๐ ๐ฎ๐ž In standard theories of long-range gravity, the principle of holography of information appears to hold. There are no islands. Applied to black holes, information about even the interior of a black hole is always available outside for sufficiently complicated measurements.

Islands are consistent in theories of massive gravity. Applied to black holes, information about the black hole emerges gradually according to a Page curve, as an island grows in the interior. But the paradigm of islands (at least in its current form) should not be applied to black holes in standard theories of massless gravity.

Read more at: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2107.03390.pdf

Black Hole Information Paradox Course Archive

We have archived our recent ICTS course on the black hole information paradox. This was a research-level topical course covering several recent developments.

The lecture archive is here: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCJ-YA8uOwUlACfn49iD7TvA

and some more resources including handwritten lecture-specific notes and assignments are available at: http://www.suvratraju.net/classes/black-hole-information-paradox

The course followed the lecture notes available at: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2012.05770.pdf

Thanks to Chandramouli, for being such a great teaching fellow!

Some reflections:

I felt this was an interesting experiment in teaching. Usually for a very specialized course of this kind, we would have a small group of participants across Bangalore institutions — ICTS, IISc and RRI. But this time since it was virtual, we opened it up more widely.

So not only were there participants from other institutes in India, we had a large international group including participants from at least 10 other countries across 4 continents.

Zoom teaching can end up being a lecturer’s monologue but these lectures were pleasantly interactive because of the diversity of students.

The course did involve a lot of work. My estimate for the first time I teach a graduate course is that preparation hours:lecture hours is about 5:1 (reducing by a factor of 2 for every time the course is repeated.) For this course, I think it was more like 10:1. I’m not sure why. Perhaps one reason was that I knew everything was being recorded. In the classroom, if one messes up the algebra one can say “and if you work in units where 2=1, the answer will come out right as you can check at home.” :-) But I was uncomfortable doing this while being recorded, which obviously meant more work. Also, since there is no visual feedback, teaching virtually just requires work in organizing the subject matter better.

On the other hand, we generated a lot of archived teaching material, and hopefully this will be useful for students in the future as well.

Some institutional ideas:

Online teaching has been rightly criticized. I can see how much of a disaster it has been at school level. The most serious problem is that it exacerbates inequities among students. But even for those privileged school students who have access to stable internet, a place to study and parental support I think the last year was largely a washout. The same problems persist at an undergraduate level. Also the state uses virtual education as an excuse to reduce investment in education. So to be clear: I hold no brief for the virtual classroom, in general.

Nevertheless, I have been wondering whether, within the niche area of graduate education, such virtual courses might have an important role even when the pandemic ends.

Just within theoretical physics, most institutions have neither the faculty strength not enough student demand to run regular courses on a subject like advanced QFT. It is even rarer to have topical research courses of the kind above. So cross-institutional courses could help to bridge this gap. At this level, participants are both mature and highly motivated and so may be able to benefit from virtual courses.

In India, there has been an indefensible policy of separating research institutions and teaching institutions. These kinds of courses are a small reform that might help in the short run. (In the longer run, obviously, the policy must change.)

There are some immediate administrative issues. In this course, except for a small set of ICTS students, everyone was “sitting in”, and we couldn’t give anyone else “credit” for the course. This is because most institutions have administrative issues in accepting credit for courses from other institutions. These barriers need to be dismantled. We also need a system of sharing teaching fellows so that if X students from an institution take a course, the institution also offers grading support to avoid an undue burden on the home institution. But these don’t seem to be insuperable.

I’m skeptical of my own ideas since I’m skeptical of virtual teaching for the reasons above. Am I missing some obvious reason that this is a bad idea?

The Black Hole Wars

Updated 3 April 2021

I was part of a “podcast with video” series on the “Black Hole Wars” that the students at DAMTP organized as part of the 2021 Cambridge Festival. This was the concluding episode in a series exploring the information paradox.

I tried to explain how theories of gravity store quantum information differently from other quantum field theories; how this is an effect that was missed in Hawking’s argument for information loss; and how replacing Hawking’s “principle of ignorance” (about the interior) with a “principle of holography of information” provides a neat resolution to the paradox.

The festival is a public outreach program at the University, and so I was told not to target Cambridge undergraduates and to keep things at a high school level i.e. not even assume the Gauss law or the uncertainty principle! I’m not sure I succeeded at that but hopefully some of it is accessible to undergraduate students.

I’ve also never tried to explain a complex scientific topic in a “podcast style” conversation. This has its own challenges. In a popular talk, one can start at a basic level and then organize topics in some clever way to communicate an advanced idea or at least build up a sequence of analogies. But here the idea was to bring out the physics as part of a conversation.

Anyway, it was a new experience, so I had fun.

Thanks to Ayngaran Thavanesan for organizing this and to Rifath Khan and Goncalo Regado for anchoring the conversation.

Caste and Skin Colour in the Mahabharata

This is pretty far afield from the topics that I usually write about but after reading Rudrangshu Mukherjee’s article on “Dharma and Caste in the Mahabharata” in the India Forum I felt that perhaps a brief response was warranted. So I wrote a letter on “Caste and Skin Colour” in the Mahabharata, which appears here.

https://www.theindiaforum.in/letters/dharma-and-caste-mahabharata

One simple point that appears not to be widely appreciated (at least in some circles) about the Mahabharata is this. In the original text, many of the main heroes, and the most beautiful men and women are described as being dark or having black-colored skin. There is a lot of explicit discussion about the complexion of characters, and there is no ambiguity about this issue. I give several examples in the letter but even a cursory reading of the text will reveal this aspect.

So it is incorrect to try and link skin color and caste while analyzing the text. The relation doesn’t exist as far as I can see.

(Of course, it is absurd that in modern picturizations of the Mahabharata — whether in the Amar Chitra Katha or the Doordarshan serial — the main characters (especially the women) are all depicted as having fair skin.)

On the other hand, there are other important issues and discussions of caste in the Mahabharata. It is clear that the text is presented from a dominant-caste narrative but there are several nuggets of dissent. I tried to give some examples of those as well. I think this reflects the fact that the text is accretive and I view these episodes as a sign of dialectical currents in the society of the time and as an acknowledgments of old revolts against a hierarchical order.

My study of the Mahabharata has been superficial, at best, so I would appreciate comments and corrections.

The Citizenship Amendment Act and Academic Freedom

An opinion piece I wrote for the Scientific American describing our response, as members of the Indian scientific community, to the Citizenship Amendment Act. Members of the scientific community have also spoken out on other issues over the past year. I tried to place this in the context of broader questions of academic freedom in public research institutes in India.

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/scientists-weigh-in-on-indias-citizenship-debate/

Black Holes and the Reversibility of Time

A popular-level talk on Black Holes and the Reversibility of Time that I gave today to start off the new ICTS outreach series called the Vigyan Adda. I even talked about the principle of holography of information at the end of the talk, although I’m not sure how successful I was in communicating the idea. Thanks to the amazing ICTS outreach team!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zyaf5GfkfV4